Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 10.866080 12.170698 13.581891 15.223748 17.083940 19.128900 21.551150
2025-04-13 8.603807 10.266091 12.191102 14.592277 17.517180 20.976894 25.397883
2025-04-20 7.280575 9.191952 11.545178 14.672060 18.742817 23.896424 30.968532
2025-04-27 6.295631 8.370753 11.073800 14.883249 20.162532 27.291730 37.768824
2025-05-04 5.441001 7.585250 10.526920 14.905389 21.339136 30.574200 45.065688
2025-05-11 4.629277 6.735912 9.765235 14.505520 21.858178 33.030454 51.679447
2025-05-18 3.994134 6.046102 9.128420 14.182630 22.432366 35.664704 59.103081
2025-05-25 3.486216 5.474109 8.583846 13.911558 23.036730 38.446955 67.345927
2025-06-01 3.088002 5.017817 8.153934 13.754281 23.796594 41.615223 76.930333
2025-06-08 2.767047 4.643138 7.803282 13.672725 24.668493 45.128773 87.914427
2025-06-15 2.568205 4.447498 7.726777 14.059321 26.452047 50.639761 104.047401
2025-06-22 2.328303 4.147888 7.425644 13.982799 27.336837 54.570664 117.815376
2025-06-29 2.076579 3.801256 7.004568 13.635467 27.673581 57.560371 130.511118
2025-07-06 1.872134 3.517466 6.664731 13.398597 28.203123 61.077956 145.370476
2025-07-13 1.753745 3.384578 6.600398 13.721206 30.005889 67.805198 169.915351
2025-07-20 1.653845 3.275665 6.569464 14.111404 32.039792 75.516622 199.234870
2025-07-27 1.543563 3.131746 6.447040 14.279986 33.591014 82.403978 228.384835
2025-08-03 1.408538 2.919621 6.152133 14.007027 34.017972 86.536790 250.891845
2025-08-10 1.292049 2.733812 5.891622 13.776404 34.514648 90.979471 275.763214
2025-08-17 1.190166 2.568490 5.656684 13.573058 35.050130 95.664828 302.955850
2025-08-24 1.105165 2.431566 5.470299 13.464083 35.826453 101.234048 334.997268
2025-08-31 1.032409 2.314660 5.316807 13.417421 36.774006 107.550295 371.880581
2025-09-07 0.992252 2.269843 5.331572 13.821768 39.114827 118.765566 430.932245